Iran's Nuclear Hedging : Solved CSS Essay

 Iran's Nuclear Hedging : Solved CSS Essay 

 Iran's Nuclear Hedging

In the current era, the international community has been trying to grapple with nuclear hedging. The topmost agenda strikes attention to untangling Iranian nuclear challenges. The journey took its strikes in the Tehran declaration of 2003 to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and, ultimately, the 'historical deal of the US-Iran nuclear deal. Due to Iran's enrichment plan beyond civil needs, authorities are in dire apprehension. However, IAEA did not acknowledge the dissident attitude of Iran regarding nuclear proliferation programs. 

These programs caught fire under a military dimension rather than peaceful nature. Tehran named encroachment by UNSCRs as 'nuclear imperialism' and declared it impeded Iran's sovereign rights. Both stakeholders, Iran with Russia at one pole and Arab countries with Washington, on the other hand, are compelling Tehran to come on terms. Iran did not admit her covert nuclear proliferation programs and reiterated that her enrichment is limited to civil purposes. On the other hand, UNSCR repudiates the Tehran declaration due to restricting authorities for inspection of military bases at Natanz and Arak. 

These opposed views open Pandora's Box of acquisition Vs. Restraint for Iran Nuclear Programs. The authorities are concerned with the repercussions of both options. Either authority must consent to acquire nuclear power from Iran or restrict Tehran to the nuclear threshold for civil purposes. The former case of the point will drastically affect regional hegemony and, broadly, international security. Whereas, the later scenario is possible only to agree with Tehran for the similar nature of deal by Washington as with Delhi and Riddya- nuclear deal for civil purpose.  

President Obama's presidential address claimed that 'the entire world has an interest in preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.' The illusion still exists in the form of the US-Iran Nuclear Deal – the historic initiative by the Obama administration in the binary acquisition or restraint framework. After the deal, Iran has more opportunities for clandestine nuclear proliferation. It does, however, add another layer of complexity to nuclear hedging. The perceived value of the nuclear weapons option as it caters to needs on political, diplomatic, and technical grounds. 

The agreement reached finality among both parties. In a limited period, hedging positions a state relatively close to the nuclear weapons threshold and may be perceived to hold value as a tool of influence, coercion, or deterrence, even if this value draws on a latent form of power. Undeniably, a lasting deal recognized Iran's program and gave legitimacy to a form of proliferation behavior that has defied several UNSCRs. The implication of nuclear hedging has a ripple effect as Iran yields benefits due to this deal. This provides Tehran a viable option for relatively rapid acquisition of nuclear weapons based on the technical capacity to produce them within a relatively short period, ranging from several weeks to a few years. 

For understanding, deconstructing hedging is very significant through an interpretative lens. More or less, nuclear hedging is used as an objective of state for nuclear power to be fulfilled with authenticity by international diplomats, particularly by Tehran. Primarily in the deconstructing hedging coherent efforts required to achieve latency. This conceptual framework of latency is central to hedging in which ability or attempt is made to maintain a high level of opacity concerning intent and capability. 

In this regard, Iran's nuclear activities cause concern for several reasons. Nevertheless, one reason is a significant gap between Tehran's stated civil rationale for the program and the program's maturity. Another reason is the technical issue concerning international pressures that Tehran has not ignored yet. Lastly, the economic element interplay here as well, as Iran's progress in nuclear energy with the maturity of nuclear programs. Thus, Tehran can alternate oil requirements with nuclear energy-particularly for domestic energy needs. 

The above rationales and the finality of the deal between US-Iran on nuclear programs can lead Iran to create hegemony in the region for military purposes. The evidence in this regard given by President Rouhani on this theme is as 'Iran will never surrender its legal right to the pursuit of civil, peaceful nuclear activity. 

Conclusively, the situation in the future could be detrimental due to diplomatic and economic pressure from western powers. In case of agreement violation and nuclear hedging, Iran would be inclined toward the East due to closer ties with China and Russia. Therefore, this move will allow Iran to mitigate the effects of sanctions. 

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